Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023

Korona Kielce II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sandomierz play Korona Kielce II in the III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023. Korona Kielce II are favorites here. Recently, Sandomierz averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Korona Kielce II averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Sandomierz won 1, Korona Kielce II won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2023 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Sandomierz and 1.61 for Korona Kielce II. This points to a Korona Kielce II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Sandomierz

17%

Draws

58%

Korona Kielce II

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Sandomierz picked up more points recently compared to Korona Kielce II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.61 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Sandomierz Clean Sheet 14%

Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sandomierz	Korona Kielce II
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	17
Draws	6	4
Losses	18	10
Goals Scored	1.23	2.19
Goals Conceded	2.9	1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Sandomierz vs Korona Kielce II

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

5:3

Nov 5, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Sandomierz

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

8:0

Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Sandomierz

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Nov 15, 2020 III Liga - Group IV

Sandomierz vs Korona Kielce II

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Mar 8, 2020 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Sandomierz

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abate L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sudy M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybus J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lisowski P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandomierz 25 / 100

Korona Kielce II 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sandomierz Korona Kielce II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (2)

Secondary Pick Korona Kielce II & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sandomierz attacking → ← attacking Korona Kielce II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandomierz scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Korona Kielce II let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Sandomierz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Korona Kielce II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	23	5	6	72:27	74
2	Avia Swidnik	34	19	11	4	58:26	68
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	20	7	7	75:35	67
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	17	7	10	61:36	58
5	Biala Podlaska	34	14	13	7	63:42	55
6	Cracovia II	34	16	6	12	69:48	54
7	Wisloka Debica	34	15	7	12	54:46	52
8	Sokol Sieniawa	34	14	6	14	57:65	48
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	15	2	17	47:58	47
10	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	6	15	59:47	45
11	Orleta Radzyn	34	13	4	17	44:63	43
12	Chelmianka Chelm	34	10	10	14	45:47	40
13	Unia Tarnow	34	10	10	14	43:66	40
14	Wiazownica	34	11	7	16	49:59	40
15	Korona Kielce II	34	10	9	15	63:58	39
16	Sandomierz	34	7	6	21	40:91	27
17	Lublinianka	34	7	2	25	43:92	23
18	LKS Lagow	34	11	4	19	27:63	37