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Sandviken vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jernvallen, Sandviken
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Arvidsson J.
Assist: Tagesson L.
45' Event
Lundin A.
Assist: Nordh G.
46'
Sub
Granstrom G. In: Jonsson P.
Out: Granstrom G.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sandviken and Brage finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sandviken.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sandviken
35%
Draws
16%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sandviken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Brage haven't matched Sandviken's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Sandviken taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 20%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandviken Brage
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Sandviken
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Brage vs Sandviken
0:0
Jun 14, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Brage
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Sandviken vs Brage
2:3
Aug 2, 2025 Superettan
Sandviken vs Brage
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandviken Compare

Top Goalscorer Arvidsson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harletun K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konjuhi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandviken 76 / 100
Brage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandviken Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandviken Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sandviken's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sandviken went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandviken VS Brage
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandviken

(Home)
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
23 Aug
Norrby
1 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

Brage

(Away)
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
23 Aug
Brage
1 : 2
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)