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Stadium Background

Sandviken vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jernvallen, Sandviken
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Wagner C.
(Penalty)
17'
Sub
Bohm K. In: Vabo L.
Out: Bohm K.
26' Event
Borgelin S.
Assist: Winbo A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sandviken and Varberg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sandviken
44%
Draws
20%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Varberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 11%
Varberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandviken Varberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
0:0
May 31, 2025 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
2:1
May 19, 2024 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandviken Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagner C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgelin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broman G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandviken 35 / 100
Varberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandviken Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandviken found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Varberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sandviken stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandviken VS Varberg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandviken

(Home)
26 Jul
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Jul
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Sandviken
28 Jun
Sandviken
4 : 2
Helsingborg
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
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Varberg

(Away)
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1693432:2230
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Oster1682627:2526
6Landskrona1574422:1625
7Nordic United1574425:2225
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)