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Sandvikens AIK vs FC Jarfalla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sandvikens AIK play FC Jarfalla in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sandvikens AIK averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. FC Jarfalla averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Sandvikens AIK won 0, FC Jarfalla won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 17, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sandvikens AIK and 1.36 for FC Jarfalla. This points to a FC Jarfalla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sandvikens AIK
29%
Draws
42%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: FC Jarfalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Sandvikens AIK picked up more points recently compared to FC Jarfalla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Sandvikens AIK Clean Sheet 18%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandvikens AIK FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Sandvikens AIK vs FC Jarfalla
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Sandvikens AIK
4:1
Aug 27, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Sandvikens AIK vs FC Jarfalla
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Sandvikens AIK
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Sandvikens AIK vs FC Jarfalla
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandvikens AIK 30 / 100
FC Jarfalla 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandvikens AIK FC Jarfalla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Jarfalla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sandvikens AIK attacking → ← attacking FC Jarfalla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandvikens AIK scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Jarfalla let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sandvikens AIK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Jarfalla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Arlanda26204274:2664
2Enkopings SK26165566:3453
3Viggbyholms26127743:2643
4Gute26125951:3541
5FC Jarfalla261221239:3938
6IK Franke261061046:4336
7Falu BS2698932:3635
8Farsta2698941:4635
9Kungsangen261031331:4333
10Osteraker IFK26941332:4731
11Skiljebo26771236:4728
12Sandvikens AIK26681233:4426
13Hudiksvall26681227:4926
14Dalkurd26451732:6817