Sport Picks
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J1 League Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 
Match Events
10'
10'
Suzuki A.
(Penalty)
18'
18'
Ayukawa S.
Assist: Higashi S.
45'
45'
Suzuki A.
Assist: Nakano S.
AI Match Summary
Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cerezo Osaka lately — more wins on the board than Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sanfrecce Hiroshima have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 68%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
6:1
Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Ayukawa S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Suzuki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Cerezo Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Uejo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 95 / 100
Cerezo Osaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Cerezo Osaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Cerezo Osaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Cerezo Osaka
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Home) 29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1 Okinawa
22 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
Page 1 of 3
Cerezo Osaka
(Away) 29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2 Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2 Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
29 Aug
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Cerezo Osaka
15 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
3 : 0 Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
