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Stadium Background

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Iwaki have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima have conceded 1.14 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2024, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.00, favoring Sanfrecce Hiroshima. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15%
Draws
32%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Iwaki.
  • Win probability leans Sanfrecce Hiroshima's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 20%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Iwaki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2024 Emperors Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 85 / 100
Iwaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Iwaki has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Iwaki
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Home)
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1
Okinawa
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0
Yokohama FC
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0
Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0
Iwaki
29 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 3
Albirex Niigata
26 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers -
Kofu -
Gainare Tottori -
Verdy -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
Tokushima -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Iwaki -
Okayama -
Chiba -
Vissel Kobe -
Sagan Tosu -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Yokohama FC -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Imabari -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Kyoto Sangyo -
Urawa Reds -
Omiya Ardija -
Cerezo Osaka -
Kagoshima United -
Kyoto -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Machida Zelvia -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
Shonan Bellmare -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -