Sport Picks
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 
Match Events
17'
17'
Inagaki S.
46'
46'
Sub
Kawamura T. In: Haller S.
Out: Kawamura T.
72'
72'
Kato M.
AI Match Summary
Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won more games recently than Nagoya Grampus.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 16%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.39 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
3:0
May 23, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
4:2
Mar 18, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Emperors Cup
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:4
Jun 28, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Kato M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suzuki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Nagoya Grampus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75 / 100
Nagoya Grampus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanfrecce Hiroshima found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Nagoya Grampus conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Nagoya Grampus
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Home) 31 Oct
Mito
0 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
21 Oct
V-Varen Nagasaki
4 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
17 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Kyoto
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
17 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Kyoto
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 3
Nagoya Grampus
(Away) 31 Oct
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1 Nagoya Grampus
28 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2 Urawa Reds
25 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
21 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
17 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1 Nagoya Grampus
17 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
11 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
1 : 2 Nagoya Grampus
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 18 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | 7 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
