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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Paks

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Paks in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Paks's 2.57 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.31, favoring Sanfrecce Hiroshima. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
20%
Draws
40%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima come out ahead of Paks on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 18%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Paks
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.07 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Paks
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 85 / 100
Paks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Paks has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Paks
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Home)
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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Paks

(Away)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
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