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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Shimizu S-Pulse in the J1 League. This has Sanfrecce Hiroshima written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 2.17 goals for, 0.93 against; Shimizu S-Pulse at 1.3 for, 1.22 against. Past meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15%
Draws
38%
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Shimizu S-Pulse haven't matched Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent run of results.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Shimizu S-Pulse
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Emperors Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:0
Feb 26, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Shimizu S-Pulse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Shimizu S-Pulse conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Shimizu S-Pulse
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Home)
14 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Shimizu S-Pulse

(Away)
14 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
11 Oct
Mito
1 : 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 FC Tokyo 10 7 2 1 21:8 23
3 Kashiwa Reysol 10 7 0 3 22:17 21
4 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
5 Kashima Antlers 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
6 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10 4 4 2 21:16 16
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
9 Urawa Reds 10 5 0 5 17:21 15
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
11 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
12 Nagoya Grampus 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
13 Cerezo Osaka 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
14 Mito 10 2 3 5 12:14 9
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 Kyoto 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
19 Chiba 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
20 Verdy 10 0 4 6 4:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)