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Stadium Background

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Logo

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Wed, May 6, 2026
1 - 2
06:00 AM
Vissel Kobe Logo

Vissel Kobe

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Kato M.
Assist: Higashi S.
46'
Sub
Sasaki D. In: Hirose R.
Out: Sasaki D.
46'
Sub
Mitsuta M. In: Komatsu R.
Out: Mitsuta M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vissel Kobe in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vissel Kobe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15%
Draws
51%
Vissel Kobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vissel Kobe lately — more wins on the board than Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vissel Kobe have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 68%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Vissel Kobe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe
1:2
Mar 27, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Emperors Cup
Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:0
Aug 20, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
Jul 2, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Komatsu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41 / 100
Vissel Kobe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Vissel Kobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vissel Kobe let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Vissel Kobe
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Home)
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Vissel Kobe

(Away)
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2
Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)