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Sanga Balende vs Tanganyika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sanga Balende host Tanganyika in the Ligue 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sanga Balende have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Tanganyika's 1.31 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Sanga Balende have won 1 to Tanganyika's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Tanganyika. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sanga Balende
15%
Draws
37%
Tanganyika
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanga Balende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanganyika come out ahead of Sanga Balende on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sanga Balende a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tanganyika have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 20%
Tanganyika Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanga Balende Tanganyika
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Sanga Balende
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tanganyika
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Sanga Balende
3:0
May 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tanganyika
0:1
Mar 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Sanga Balende
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanga Balende 36 / 100
Tanganyika 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanga Balende Tanganyika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanganyika let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sanga Balende went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sanga Balende scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanga Balende VS Tanganyika
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanga Balende

(Home)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2
Simba
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1
Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6

Tanganyika

(Away)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 FC Renaissance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)