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Sangiovannese vs Figline

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76'
Torrini L.
89'
Noferi N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sangiovannese
35%
Draws
46%
Figline
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Figline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiovannese average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Figline's 0.77.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 21%
Figline Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiovannese Figline
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Figline
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Figline vs Sangiovannese
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Sangiovannese
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Figline
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Sangiovannese
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiovannese 32 / 100
Figline 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiovannese Figline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figline Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figline has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Sangiovannese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Sangiovannese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sangiovannese VS Figline
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiovannese

(Home)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Figline

(Away)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)