Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sangiuliano City vs Arconatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Sartori G.
45' Event
Saggionetto N.
51' Event
Sartori G.

AI Match Summary

Sangiuliano City in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangiuliano City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sangiuliano City
20%
Draws
40%
Arconatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sangiuliano City lately — more wins on the board than Arconatese.
  • Sangiuliano City are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 20%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Arconatese
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Arconatese
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Sangiuliano City
2:1
May 14, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Arconatese
8:3
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Sangiuliano City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saggionetto N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arconatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 36 / 100
Arconatese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Arconatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Sangiuliano City scored in 71% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Arconatese conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Arconatese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS Arconatese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiuliano City

(Home)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 8

Arconatese

(Away)
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0
Arconatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)