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Sangiustese vs Matelica

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Peroni A.
54' Event
Peroni A.

AI Match Summary

Matelica in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matelica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
20%
Draws
80%
Matelica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Matelica have won more games recently than Sangiustese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Matelica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 18%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Matelica
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 3 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.82 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Matelica
0:2
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Sangiustese
0:1
May 11, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Sangiustese
1:0
Mar 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Sangiustese
2:0
Nov 10, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Matelica
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiustese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Matelica Compare

Top Goalscorer Peroni A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 32 / 100
Matelica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Matelica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiustese found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (22 games).

Matelica has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Matelica
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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Matelica

(Away)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
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