Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Palladini A.
12'
12'
Adusa J. D.
83'
83'
Marchionni L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Montegiorgio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montegiorgio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montegiorgio come out ahead of Sangiustese on wins alone.
- Model gives Sangiustese a 0% chance of winning this.
- Montegiorgio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Montegiorgio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiustese | Montegiorgio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio
0:1
Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Sangiustese
0:1
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio
1:2
Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio
0:0
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Sangiustese
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sangiustese Compare
Top Goalscorer Palladini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Montegiorgio Compare
Top Goalscorer Adusa J. D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marchionni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sangiustese 67 / 100
Montegiorgio 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sangiustese Montegiorgio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sangiustese scored in 64% of their last 22 outings.
Montegiorgio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Montegiorgio lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Montegiorgio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiustese
(Home) 01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1 Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0 Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2 Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0 Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2 Vastese
Page 1 of 5
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1 Montegiorgio
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2 Matelica
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2 Vastese
19 Jan
Sangiustese
0 : 1 Pineto
05 Jan
Sangiustese
1 : 2 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 3
Montegiorgio
(Away) 14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 7
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
02 Apr
Vastese
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Mantova 3
Ciliverghe Mazzano 4
Folgore Caratese 2
Caravaggio 0
Seregno Calcio 4
Casale 1
Crema 1
Fanfulla 0
Montebelluna 2
Union Feltre 3
Villafranca 2
Virtus Bolzano 1
Chions 0
Campodarsego 3
Mestre 0
Adriese 1
Grassina 2
Scandicci 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Monterosi 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Grosseto 1
FC Ponsacco 4
Tuttocuoio 2
Pro Sesto 1
Inveruno 2
Brusaporto 2
Villa Valle 1
AC Chieri 3
Ligorna 0
Sanremese 1
Savona 0
Avezzano 0
Pineto 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Ostiamare 1
Lanusei Calcio 0
Sassari Torres 2
Aprilia 1
Vis Artena 0
US Tolentino 3
Cannara 1
Sangiustese 1
Montegiorgio 2
Mezzolara 1
Vigor Carpaneto 0
Savignanese 2
Matelica 1
Roma City 1
Portici 1906 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Fidelis Andria 0
Francavilla 0
Citta di Fasano 2
Taranto 2
Audace Cerignola 0
FC Messina 2
Cittanovese 0
Marsala 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Vastogirardi 1
Turris 2
Sorrento 1
1/16-finals
Ciliverghe Mazzano 1
Folgore Caratese 2
Seregno Calcio 2
Crema 1
Union Feltre 2
Villafranca 0
Campodarsego 2
Adriese 1
Grassina 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 3
Seravezza Pozzi 2
FC Ponsacco 0
Inveruno 3
Brusaporto 2
AC Chieri 0
Sanremese 3
Pineto 1
Ostiamare 0
Sassari Torres 3
Aprilia 0
US Tolentino 2
Montegiorgio 0
Mezzolara 2
Savignanese 1
Portici 1906 0
A.C. Savoia 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Taranto 2
FC Messina 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Turris 1
1/8-finals
Folgore Caratese 3
Seregno Calcio 2
Union Feltre 3
Campodarsego 0
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Inveruno 2
Sanremese 3
Pineto 4
Sassari Torres 3
US Tolentino 4
Mezzolara 2
A.C. Savoia 0
Citta di Fasano 1
AS Acireale 0
Foggia 3
Quarter-finals
Folgore Caratese 2
Union Feltre 1
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Sanremese 2
Pineto 1
US Tolentino 2
Citta di Fasano 2
Foggia 1
Semi-finals
Folgore Caratese 6
Sanremese 0
US Tolentino 1
Citta di Fasano 5
Final
Folgore Caratese -
Citta di Fasano -
