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Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mariani M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Sangiustese and Montegiorgio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montegiorgio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
15%
Draws
85%
Montegiorgio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montegiorgio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Montegiorgio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Sangiustese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Montegiorgio
Matches Played 22 37
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.82 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio
0:1
Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Sangiustese
0:1
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio
1:2
Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Montegiorgio
0:0
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Sangiustese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiustese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Montegiorgio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 67 / 100
Montegiorgio 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Montegiorgio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiustese scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Montegiorgio has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Montegiorgio has conceded goals in 59% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montegiorgio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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Montegiorgio

(Away)
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0
Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1
Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1
Montegiorgio
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