Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sangiustese vs Monticelli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Sangiustese and Monticelli finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sangiustese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
15%
Draws
85%
Monticelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monticelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sangiustese come out ahead of Monticelli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sangiustese a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 68%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Monticelli
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.04 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Monticelli
2:1
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Sangiustese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 77 / 100
Monticelli 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Monticelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sangiustese scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Monticelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Monticelli has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sangiustese VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

Monticelli

(Away)
06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1
Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0
Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0
Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)