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Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 26, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sangiustese host Notaresco Calcio in the Serie D - Group F 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sangiustese at 0.82 goals for, 1.5 against; Notaresco Calcio at 1.07 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Notaresco Calcio slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 1.18) point toward Notaresco Calcio. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
15%
Draws
85%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Notaresco Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Sangiustese.
  • Sangiustese are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.82 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Sangiustese
1:0
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Sangiustese
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 58 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiustese's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Notaresco Calcio let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Notaresco Calcio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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