Sport Picks
Sanjoanense vs AD Fafe
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Sanjoanense and AD Fafe finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanjoanense | AD Fafe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanjoanense Compare
AD Fafe Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanjoanense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Sanjoanense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
AD Fafe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.
