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Sanjoanense vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Sanjoanense Logo

Sanjoanense

1 - 0
FT
Agueda Logo

Agueda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanjoanense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanjoanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sanjoanense
30%
Draws
8%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanjoanense lately — more wins on the board than Agueda.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Sanjoanense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%
Agueda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanense Agueda
Matches Played 40 24
Wins 11 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.27 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sanjoanense vs Agueda
1:0
Jan 8, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs Sanjoanense
1:1
May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Agueda vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Jan 6, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sanjoanense vs Agueda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 95 / 100
Agueda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanense Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Agueda let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Sanjoanense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

(Home)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 8

Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)