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Sanjoanense vs FC Felgueiras

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sanjoanense and FC Felgueiras finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Felgueiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sanjoanense
20%
Draws
33%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Felgueiras come out ahead of Sanjoanense on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sanjoanense taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Felgueiras have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 20%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanense FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.23 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Sanjoanense vs FC Felgueiras
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Sanjoanense vs FC Felgueiras
0:4
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Sanjoanense vs FC Felgueiras
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Liga 3
FC Felgueiras vs Sanjoanense
3:0
Sep 3, 2023 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs FC Felgueiras
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 67 / 100
FC Felgueiras 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanense FC Felgueiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sanjoanense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FC Felgueiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sanjoanense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS FC Felgueiras
1.71 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 0%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

(Home)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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FC Felgueiras

(Away)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
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