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Sanjoanense vs Sousense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between Sanjoanense and Sousense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanjoanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sanjoanense
20%
Draws
7%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanjoanense come out ahead of Sousense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sanjoanense a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 19%
Sousense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanense Sousense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.28 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sanjoanense vs Sousense
3:1
Dec 3, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sousense vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Apr 23, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sousense vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Mar 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sanjoanense vs Sousense
1:0
Dec 18, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs Sanjoanense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 85 / 100
Sousense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanense Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Sanjoanense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sanjoanense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS Sousense
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

(Home)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 7

Sousense

(Away)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
UD Ovarense
2 : 0
Sousense
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)