Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024

Sanjoanense

0 - 1

Vitoria Setubal

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Okoua C.

75'

Caleb

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Vitoria Setubal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Sanjoanense

20%

Draws

33%

Vitoria Setubal

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Sanjoanense haven't matched Vitoria Setubal's recent run of results.
Model gives Sanjoanense a 47% chance of winning this.
Vitoria Setubal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Vitoria Setubal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Vitoria Setubal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%

Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sanjoanense	Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	15
Draws	8	6
Losses	16	9
Goals Scored	1.23	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.46	1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Taça de Portugal

Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Setubal

0:1

Feb 23, 1969 Liga Portugal

Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Setubal

1:4

Nov 3, 1968 Liga Portugal

Vitoria Setubal vs Sanjoanense

3:0

Apr 21, 1968 Liga Portugal

Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Setubal

0:0

Dec 24, 1967 Liga Portugal

Vitoria Setubal vs Sanjoanense

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12

Avg xA / game 0.73

Vitoria Setubal Compare

Top Goalscorer Caleb

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.41

Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 95 / 100

Vitoria Setubal 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sanjoanense Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sanjoanense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Setubal let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS Vitoria Setubal

1.13 Goals Scored 1.6

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8

75% Over 1.5 80%

63% Over 2.5 60%

25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

(Home)

20 Sept

Anca

1 : 4

Sanjoanense

13 Sept

Florgrade

2 : 0

Sanjoanense

06 Sept

Sanjoanense

3 : 1

FC Alpendorada

30 Aug

Sanjoanense

3 : 0

Pacos de Brandao

23 Aug

SC Salgueiros

1 : 1

Sanjoanense

Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Setubal

(Away)

20 Sept

Alcains

0 : 2

Vitoria Setubal

13 Sept

Vitoria Setubal

2 : 2

Juv. Evora

06 Sept

Lajense

0 : 1

Vitoria Setubal

23 Aug

Vitoria Setubal

1 : 3

Amora

16 Aug

Serpa

4 : 2

Vitoria Setubal

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moncarapachense -

TBD -

CU Micaelense 1

GD Alcochetense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Ponte -

TBD -

Vilaverdense FC -

TBD -

SC Farense -

Valadares Gaia FC 4

Torre De Moncorvo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

FC Foz 0

TBD -

Santa Maria FC -

Sao Joao de Ver -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Anadia 2

Sanjoanense 3

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Tomar -

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro 2

Caldas SC 1

Padernense 1

Serpa 2

TBD -

CD Gouveia -

Atletico SC 0

CDR Quarteirense 2

TBD -

CF Os Belenenses -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Uniao Lamas 2

Paredes 3

Florgrade 3

Beira Mar 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense -

TBD -

Amarante FC -

Academica 3

Uniao de Coimbra 0

Fornos de Algodres 0

Oliveira Hospital 5

O Elvas CAD -

TBD -

Lanheses -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Tirsense -

SC Vila Real 0

Ribeirao 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

Aliados Lordelo 1

SC Vianense 3

CD Portosantense 1

Gondomar 0

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Barreirense -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Oliveira do Douro -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Juv. Evora 3

Portel 0

Sintrense 2

Operario 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Gafetense -

TBD -

Mafra -

Brito -

TBD -

Feirense -

Vilar de Perdizes -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

TBD -

FC Porto -

GD Peniche 2

Marinhense 1

Mondinense 0

CDC Montalegre 2

Trofense -

TBD -

Pevidem -

Canelas 2010 -

TBD -

FC Flamengos 0

GD Fontinhas 2

TBD -

Chaves -

Guadalupe 0

Fabril do Barreiro 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

Mortagua FC -

TBD -

Amora 8

Vitoria FC Pico 0

Lusitania FC 10

Regua 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Pedrogao Sao Pedro -

TBD -

Leiria -

Atletico Arcos -

TBD -

Malveira -

Alqueidao 3

CD Torres Novas 2

TBD -

AD Marco 09 -

Rebordelo 1

Os Sandinenses 3

Real SC 1

Olivais e Moscavide 2

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Dumiense -

TBD -

Santarem 6

Proenca-A-Nova 0

Louletano 1

Imortal 0

TBD -

AFS -

Oriental -

TBD -

Torreense -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

SC Vilanovense 0

SC Pombal 2

TBD -

Tondela -

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Alverca 13

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Vizela -

Castrense 1

Penedo Gordo 0

TBD -

Vila Mea -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

AD Fafe 1

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Limianos 3

Varzim 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Amiense 0

SB Castelo Branco 7

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Boavista -

SC Lusitania -

TBD -

Os Marialvas -

TBD -

Benfica -

Luzense -

TBD -

Camacha -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Lusitano GC 2

Industria 0

TBD -

Covilha -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Lusitano FCV 0

Tocha 2

Rebordosa 2

Lobao 1

TBD -

Braga -

1/64-finals

Moncarapachense 6

CU Micaelense 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Ponte 0

Vilaverdense FC 5

TBD -

SC Farense -

Valadares Gaia FC 1

Penafiel 2

SC Salgueiros 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Leixoes 1

Sanjoanense 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Tomar 1

Pero Pinheiro 2

Serpa 2

CD Gouveia 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

CF Os Belenenses 1

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Paredes 5

Florgrade 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense 0

Amarante FC 2

Academica 3

Oliveira Hospital 2

O Elvas CAD 1

Lanheses 0

ACDR Lamelas 1

Tirsense 3

Ribeirao 0

Santa Clara 3

Vitoria Sernache 0

SC Vianense 3

CD Portosantense 2

Nacional 4

FC Barreirense 0

SC Mirandela 3

CD Rabo Peixe 3

Oliveira do Douro 2

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Juv. Evora 1

Sintrense 2

TBD -

Estoril -

Gafetense 0

Mafra 5

Brito 0

Feirense 2

Vilar de Perdizes 5

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

GD Peniche 2

CDC Montalegre 3

Trofense 0

Pevidem 1

Canelas 2010 5

GD Fontinhas 0

TBD -

Chaves -

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Maritimo 3

Mortagua FC 2

Amora 1

Lusitania FC 1

Academico Viseu 2

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 0

Leiria 12

Atletico Arcos 2

Malveira 3

Alqueidao 1

AD Marco 09 3

Os Sandinenses 1

Olivais e Moscavide 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Dumiense 4

Santarem 3

Louletano 0

AFS 1

Oriental 0

Torreense 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

SC Pombal 0

Tondela 5

1º Dezembro 1

Pacos Ferreira 0

Atletico CP 1

Alverca 0

TBD -

Vizela -

Castrense 0

Vila Mea 3

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

FC Felgueiras 4

AD Limianos 0

TBD -

Arouca -

SB Castelo Branco 1

Oliveirense 2

TBD -

Boavista -

SC Lusitania 1

Os Marialvas 0

TBD -

Benfica -

Luzense 0

Camacha 3

TBD -

Famalicao -

Lusitano GC 0

Covilha 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Tocha 2

Rebordosa 4

TBD -

Braga -

1/32-finals

Moncarapachense 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Vilaverdense FC 3

SC Farense 2

Penafiel 3

Santa Maria FC 0

Leixoes 1

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pero Pinheiro 0

Serpa 1

CF Os Belenenses 1

Gil Vicente 2

Paredes 2

Moreirense 1

Amarante FC 1

Academica 0

O Elvas CAD 2

Tirsense 1

Santa Clara 2

SC Vianense 0

Nacional 6

SC Mirandela 1

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Casa Pia 2

Sintrense 0

Estoril 5

Mafra 3

Feirense 1

Vilar de Perdizes 0

FC Porto 2

CDC Montalegre 2

Pevidem 1

Canelas 2010 1

Chaves 0

Maritimo 4

Mortagua FC 1

Academico Viseu 1

Leiria 3

Malveira 2

AD Marco 09 1

Olivais e Moscavide 1

Sporting CP 3

Dumiense 1

AFS 0

Torreense 2

Rio Ave 1

Tondela 2

1º Dezembro 1

Atletico CP 0

Vizela 1

Vila Mea 0

Estrela da Amadora 1

FC Felgueiras 1

Arouca 3

Oliveirense 1

Boavista 3

SC Lusitania 1

Benfica 4

Camacha 0

Famalicao 5

Covilha 1

Portimonense 4

Rebordosa 0

Braga 2

1/16-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 4

Vilaverdense FC 1

Penafiel 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Serpa 0

Gil Vicente 1

Paredes 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 1

Santa Clara 2

Nacional 1

Casa Pia 0

Estoril 2

Mafra 1

FC Porto 4

CDC Montalegre 0

Canelas 2010 1

Maritimo 3

Leiria 5

Malveira 0

Sporting CP 8

Dumiense 0

Torreense 1

Tondela 2

Vizela 2

Estrela da Amadora 1

Arouca 3

Boavista 2

Benfica 2

Famalicao 0

Portimonense 1

Braga 4

1/8-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Penafiel 0

Gil Vicente 3

Amarante FC 1

Santa Clara 2

Nacional 1

Estoril 0

FC Porto 4

Maritimo 0

Leiria 3

Sporting CP 4

Tondela 0

Vizela 1

Arouca 0

Benfica 3

Braga 2

Quarter-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Gil Vicente 1

Santa Clara 1

FC Porto 2

Leiria 0

Sporting CP 3

Vizela 1

Benfica 2

Semi-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

FC Porto 4

Sporting CP 4

Benfica 3

Final

FC Porto 2

Sporting CP 1

Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Setubal

Portugal

Sanjoanense

Vitoria Setubal

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Sanjoanense Compare

Vitoria Setubal Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

Vitoria Setubal

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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