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Sanjoanenses vs Palmeira Prediction & H2H Stats

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sanjoanenses
30%
Draws
47%
Palmeira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeira have won more games recently than Sanjoanenses.
  • Win probability leans Palmeira's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Palmeira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanjoanenses, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanenses Palmeira
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 0.8 1.66
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Sanjoanenses
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Palmeira
0:0
May 21, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Palmeira
2:1
May 13, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Sanjoanenses
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 24 / 100
Palmeira 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanenses Palmeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sanjoanenses scored in 60% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sanjoanenses stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Palmeira conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanenses VS Palmeira
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.38
17% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanenses

(Home)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
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Palmeira

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Palmeira
3 : 1
SC Africa Show
20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0
Palmeira
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1
Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3
Palmeira
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Boavista da Praia 4
Paulense 3
Palmeira 1
Sanjoanenses 0
Final
Boavista da Praia 0
Palmeira 1