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Sanjoanenses vs Scorpion Vermelho Prediction & H2H Stats

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
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Match Events

38' Event
Evora B.
69' Event
Lomba
90' Event
Lima M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2025 game between Sanjoanenses and Scorpion Vermelho finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanjoanenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sanjoanenses
35%
Draws
9%
Scorpion Vermelho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanjoanenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Scorpion Vermelho's 0.89 goals per match outpaces what Sanjoanenses have produced (0.8).
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Sanjoanenses taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 20%
Scorpion Vermelho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanenses Scorpion Vermelho
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.89
Goals Conceded 1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Scorpion Vermelho
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Evora B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Scorpion Vermelho Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 85 / 100
Scorpion Vermelho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanenses Scorpion Vermelho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Scorpion Vermelho conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Sanjoanenses scored in 60% of their last 20 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sanjoanenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanenses VS Scorpion Vermelho
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanenses

(Home)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
Page 1 of 4

Scorpion Vermelho

(Away)
13 Jun
Scorpion Vermelho
3 : 3
Onze Unidos
06 Jun
SC Africa Show
2 : 1
Scorpion Vermelho
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
10 May
CD Benfica
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Sanjoanenses 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Paulense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
6 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
7 Sport Sal-Rei 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 Ultramarina 6 1 2 3 3:9 5
9 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
10 Botafogo 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)