Sport Picks
Sanjoanenses vs Ultramarina Prediction & H2H Stats
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2024 
Match Events
27'
27'
Silva L.
51'
51'
Morais E.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Sanjoanenses and Ultramarina finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanjoanenses
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sanjoanenses haven't matched Ultramarina's recent run of results.
- Sanjoanenses are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanjoanenses | Ultramarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Sanjoanenses
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Ultramarina
1:1
May 4, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Sanjoanenses
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanjoanenses Compare
Top Goalscorer Morais E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ultramarina Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanjoanenses 85 / 100
Ultramarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanjoanenses Ultramarina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanjoanenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ultramarina conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Sanjoanenses's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Sanjoanenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ultramarina lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sanjoanenses VS Ultramarina
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanjoanenses
(Home) 14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0 Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0 Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0 Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0 Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1 Sanjoanenses
Page 1 of 4
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0 Palmeira
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0 Botafogo
03 May
Sanjoanenses
2 : 1 Scorpion Vermelho
19 Apr
Sanjoanenses
1 : 1 Mindelense
15 Jun
Sanjoanenses
1 : 1 Ultramarina
Page 1 of 2
Ultramarina
(Away) 24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0 Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1 Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0 Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1 Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0 Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1 Ultramarina
15 Jun
Sanjoanenses
1 : 1 Ultramarina
26 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rosariense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Barreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Derby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
