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Sanremese vs Alba Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Vassallo M.
29' Event
Incorvaia G.
40' Event
Scotto S.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sanremese
30%
Draws
41%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Alba haven't matched Sanremese's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 20%
Alba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Alba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Alba
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Sanremese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Vassallo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Incorvaia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Scotto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 31 / 100
Alba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Sanremese found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Sanremese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)