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Sanremese vs Albenga Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gagliardi G.
90' Event
Andreis S.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sanremese
20%
Draws
0%
Albenga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanremese lately — more wins on the board than Albenga.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sanremese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 20%
Albenga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Albenga
Matches Played 37 19
Wins 20 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.27 0.37
Goals Conceded 0.76 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Albenga
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Sanremese
3:1
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Sanremese
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Albenga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagliardi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andreis S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Albenga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 36 / 100
Albenga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Albenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albenga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 19 matches.

Albenga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sanremese found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
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Albenga

(Away)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)