Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanremese vs Borgosesia Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Gagliardi G.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sanremese
35%
Draws
35%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sanremese have won more games recently than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.21 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sanremese
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sanremese
3:4
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sanremese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagliardi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 42 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borgosesia Calcio conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sanremese scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sanremese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS Borgosesia Calcio
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)