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Sanremese vs Celle Varazze

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Djorkaeff O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sanremese
20%
Draws
30%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Celle Varazze haven't matched Sanremese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sanremese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Celle Varazze
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Celle Varazze
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Sanremese
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Celle Varazze
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 68 / 100
Celle Varazze 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanremese scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Celle Varazze conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Sanremese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Celle Varazze lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS Celle Varazze
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Celle Varazze

(Away)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Biellese 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
2 Derthona FbC 5 3 2 0 6:3 11
3 Gozzano 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Saluzzo 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
5 Millesimo 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
6 Alessandria 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
7 Imperia Calcio 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Asti Calcio 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
9 Ligorna 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
10 GSD Lascaris 5 2 1 2 3:6 7
11 Fezzanese 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
12 Sanremese 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Borgosesia Calcio 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
14 Chisola 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Sestri Levante 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
16 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
17 Valenzana 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)