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Sanremese vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Djorkaeff O.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Sanremese and Chisola finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sanremese
30%
Draws
33%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chisola haven't matched Sanremese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%
Chisola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Chisola
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Sanremese
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Chisola
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Sanremese
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Sanremese
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Chisola
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Djorkaeff O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chisola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 50 / 100
Chisola 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanremese scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Chisola conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sanremese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS Chisola
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Chisola

(Away)
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)