Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanremese vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
D'Antoni R.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sanremese
20%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanremese lately — more wins on the board than Fossano.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Sanremese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sanremese have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%
Fossano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Fossano
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Fossano
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Sanremese
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Fossano
3:0
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Sanremese
2:3
Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Fossano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Antoni R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 95 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Fossano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sanremese's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 8

Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)