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Sanremese vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Grosso E.
52' Event
Djorkaeff O.
85' Event
Girgi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Sanremese and Vado finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sanremese
15%
Draws
32%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanremese haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
  • Sanremese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%
Vado Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Vado
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2.09
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Vado
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Sanremese
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Sanremese
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Vado
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Sanremese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosso E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djorkaeff O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Vado Compare

Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 95 / 100
Vado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanremese scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sanremese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vado registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS Vado
1.17 Goals Scored 2.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
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Vado

(Away)
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)