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Santa Amalia vs AD Merida Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Macias M.
85' Event
Dibrani B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Santa Amalia and AD Merida finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Santa Amalia
30%
Draws
23%
AD Merida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Amalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Merida carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santa Amalia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 20%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia AD Merida
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Santa Amalia vs AD Merida
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Santa Amalia vs AD Merida
0:5
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs AD Merida
1:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Merida vs Santa Amalia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Amalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Macias M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AD Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibrani B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 76 / 100
AD Merida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia AD Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Amalia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Merida has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Santa Amalia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AD Merida's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS AD Merida
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
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AD Merida

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
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