Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Amalia vs CD Calamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Reyes S.
51' Event
Osorio J.
90' Event
Soga B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Santa Amalia and CD Calamonte finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Amalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Amalia
20%
Draws
40%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Calamonte haven't matched Santa Amalia's recent run of results.
  • Santa Amalia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Santa Amalia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 68%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia CD Calamonte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CD Calamonte
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Santa Amalia
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Santa Amalia
0:1
Apr 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Santa Amalia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Amalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 50 / 100
CD Calamonte 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Calamonte conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Santa Amalia scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: CD Calamonte has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS CD Calamonte
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
Moralo
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6

CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)