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Santa Amalia vs CP Amanecer

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between Santa Amalia and CP Amanecer finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Amalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Amalia
33%
Draws
27%
CP Amanecer
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santa Amalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CP Amanecer come out ahead of Santa Amalia on wins alone.
  • Santa Amalia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 19%
CP Amanecer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia CP Amanecer
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Amanecer vs Santa Amalia
3:1
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CP Amanecer
0:0
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CP Amanecer
3:1
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Amanecer vs Santa Amalia
3:1
Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Amanecer vs Santa Amalia
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 40 / 100
CP Amanecer 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia CP Amanecer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CP Amanecer let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Santa Amalia found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

CP Amanecer lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cacereno38295481:1692
2CD Badajoz382510390:1785
3Jerez CF38254958:2679
4CD Azuaga38228883:4274
5CD Coria382261062:2972
6Don Benito381814662:2668
7CD Calamonte381614870:3962
8UP Plasencia381781359:5659
9Moralo3813131257:5852
10Olivenza FC3812111544:5447
11Montijo3811101741:5943
12CP Amanecer3810131552:5843
13Extremadura UD B389131649:5540
14CP Valdivia389121734:6339
15Arroyo381072131:6437
16Santa Amalia381062234:8236
17Pueblonuevo388111934:6435
18Fuente de Cantos388102042:6934
19Diter Zafra38662634:9524
20La Estrella383132234:7922