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Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso Estadio de Piedades
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Ana play Cariari Pococi in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Ana averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Cariari Pococi averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Ana won 1, Cariari Pococi won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Santa Ana and 1.50 for Cariari Pococi. This points to a Santa Ana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santa Ana
35%
Draws
31%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Ana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Ana picked up more points recently compared to Cariari Pococi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 16%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Ana Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana
4:1
Oct 8, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi
2:2
Mar 20, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Ana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cariari Pococi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Ana 34 / 100
Cariari Pococi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Ana Cariari Pococi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Ana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Ana attacking → ← attacking Cariari Pococi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Ana scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Cariari Pococi let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Ana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cariari Pococi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 32
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos Cambute1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4Consultants Desamparados1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00