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Santa Ana vs El Alamo

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Santa Ana host El Alamo in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Santa Ana have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against El Alamo's 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Ana slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2021, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 0.93) point toward El Alamo. El Alamo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Ana
30%
Draws
34%
El Alamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Ana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • El Alamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Ana.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Santa Ana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 20%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Ana El Alamo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Santa Ana
3:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs El Alamo
1:2
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs El Alamo
2:1
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Santa Ana
0:2
May 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs El Alamo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Ana 36 / 100
El Alamo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Ana El Alamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Ana scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

El Alamo let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Santa Ana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

El Alamo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS El Alamo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%