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Santa Ana vs Guadalupe

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
57'
62' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Santa Ana and Guadalupe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Ana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Santa Ana
15%
Draws
12%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Ana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Ana come out ahead of Guadalupe on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Santa Ana taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santa Ana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Ana Guadalupe
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Guadalupe
2:1
Mar 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Guadalupe
0:1
Jan 23, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Santa Ana
0:2
Sep 17, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Santa Ana
1:3
Aug 5, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Guadalupe
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Ana 85 / 100
Guadalupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Ana Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Ana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Santa Ana scored in 75% of their last 24 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Guadalupe's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Ana VS Guadalupe
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Ana

(Home)
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
01 Sept
Pitbulls
2 : 0
Santa Ana
Page 1 of 5

Guadalupe

(Away)
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
2 Quepos FC 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Grecia 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 AD Sarchi 7 3 2 2 8:10 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
7 Cofutpa 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
4 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
5 Cariari Pococi 7 3 3 1 9:7 12
6 FC Moravia 9 3 1 5 12:10 10
7 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Guadalupe 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)