Sport Picks
Santa Catarina vs Hercilio Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Santa Catarina. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Santa Catarina at 1.32 goals for, 1.04 against; Hercilio Luz at 1.82 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Santa Catarina have won 1 to Hercilio Luz's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.56, favoring Hercilio Luz. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Santa Catarina.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Hercilio Luz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Hercilio Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Catarina scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Hercilio Luz let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Santa Catarina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Catarina
(Home)Hercilio Luz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
