Sport Picks
Santa Catarina vs Joinville
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Santa Catarina. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Santa Catarina at 1.33 goals for, 1.07 against; Joinville at 0.97 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Santa Catarina have won 2 to Joinville's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.76) point toward Santa Catarina. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Santa Catarina come out ahead of Joinville on wins alone.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Santa Catarina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Catarina, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Joinville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Catarina scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Joinville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.
Recent resilience: Santa Catarina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Catarina
(Home)Joinville
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 5 | Joinville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
