Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Clara U19 vs Leiria U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cruz T.
47' Event
Joao Caixeta
81' Event
Correia R.

AI Match Summary

Leiria U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiria U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Santa Clara U19
30%
Draws
16%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Clara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Leiria U19 average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Santa Clara U19's 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Santa Clara U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Santa Clara U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Clara U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Leiria U19
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Santa Clara U19
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Clara U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Caixeta
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Clara U19 95 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Clara U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Clara U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leiria U19 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Santa Clara U19 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Santa Clara U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Clara U19 VS Leiria U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Clara U19

(Home)
26 Sept
Santa Clara U19
1 : 1
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Oriental U19
2 : 1
Santa Clara U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Casa Pia U19
2 : 0
Santa Clara U19
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Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
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