Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Clara U23 play Estrela da Amadora U23 in the Liga Revelacao U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Clara U23 averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Estrela da Amadora U23 averaged 0.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Clara U23 won 3, Estrela da Amadora U23 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 9, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.30 for Santa Clara U23 and 1.21 for Estrela da Amadora U23. This points to a Santa Clara U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Santa Clara U23
11%
Draws
9%
Estrela da Amadora U23
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Santa Clara U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Clara U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estrela da Amadora U23.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Santa Clara U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Revelacao U23 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Santa Clara U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Clara U23 Estrela da Amadora U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.29
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Santa Clara U23
0:1
Oct 30, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:3
Sep 10, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Santa Clara U23
2:0
Oct 31, 2023 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Santa Clara U23
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Clara U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo Cabelinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Clara U23 76 / 100
Estrela da Amadora U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Clara U23 Estrela da Amadora U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Clara U23 scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Estrela da Amadora U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Santa Clara U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Estrela da Amadora U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Clara U23 VS Estrela da Amadora U23
1.75 Goals Scored 0.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 29%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico Viseu U231475229:1626
2Leixoes U231467128:1725
3Braga U231465324:2223
4Famalicao U231472530:1923
5Gil Vicente U231445517:1817
6Rio Ave U231443719:2515
7Vizela U231442816:2714
8Maritimo U231423913:329
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U2316112327:1535
2Santa Clara U2316101521:1431
3Torreense U2316100625:1630
4Sporting CP U231683528:1427
5SC Farense U231681719:1825
6Leiria U231645717:2317
7Estrela da Amadora U231635817:2814
8Portimonense U2316511013:2313
9Estoril U231616915:319