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Santa Clara vs Arouca

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Santa Clara and Arouca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Clara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Santa Clara
20%
Draws
36%
Arouca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Clara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Arouca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Clara a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 68%
Arouca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Clara Arouca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Santa Clara vs Arouca
3:0
May 2, 2026 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Santa Clara
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Arouca
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Arouca
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Santa Clara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Clara 59 / 100
Arouca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Clara Arouca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Clara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Clara has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santa Clara's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arouca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Clara VS Arouca
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Clara

(Home)
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
15 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 1
Santa Clara
10 Aug
Santa Clara
2 : 2
Nacional
25 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0
Arouca
22 Jul
Santa Clara
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
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Arouca

(Away)
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0
Arouca
16 Aug
Arouca
4 : 0
Moreirense
08 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 1
Arouca
01 Aug
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Arouca
25 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0
Arouca
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