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Santa Clara vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Clara host Benfica in the Liga Portugal. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Santa Clara at 1.41 goals for, 0.97 against; Benfica at 2.67 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Benfica slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.88) back Benfica to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Santa Clara
20%
Draws
42%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Santa Clara on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Santa Clara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benfica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Clara Benfica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.41 2.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Benfica
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Santa Clara
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Benfica
0:1
Oct 30, 2024 League Cup
Benfica vs Santa Clara
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Santa Clara
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Clara 40 / 100
Benfica 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Clara Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Clara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Santa Clara scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Benfica conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santa Clara VS Benfica
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Clara

(Home)
20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0
Braga
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2
Santa Clara
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Rio Ave
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1
Santa Clara
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4
Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20:9 18
3 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6:5 11
7 Braga 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
9 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)