Sport Picks
Santa Clara vs Famalicao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada 
Match Events
22'
22'
Paciencia G.
Assist: Salles de Castro L. F.
26'
26'
Vinicius Lopes
46'
46'
Sub
Gil Dias In: Beney R.
Out: Gil Dias
AI Match Summary
Santa Clara in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Clara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Clara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Santa Clara lately — more wins on the board than Famalicao.
- Model gives Santa Clara a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 68%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Clara | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Famalicao
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Famalicao
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Santa Clara
3:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Famalicao
2:1
Dec 30, 2024 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Santa Clara
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Clara Compare
Top Goalscorer Paciencia G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Famalicao Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Clara 50 / 100
Famalicao 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Clara Famalicao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Clara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Santa Clara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Santa Clara scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Famalicao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Clara VS Famalicao
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Clara
(Home) 10 Oct
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Santa Clara
20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
10 Aug
Santa Clara
2 : 2 Nacional
25 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0 Arouca
Page 1 of 4
Famalicao
(Away) 19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
07 Aug
Estoril
1 : 1 Famalicao
28 Jul
Lens
0 : 1 Famalicao
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
