Sport Picks
Santa Comba vs SD Negreira
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 game between Santa Comba and SD Negreira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Negreira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Negreira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- SD Negreira carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors SD Negreira here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Santa Comba Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Comba | SD Negreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Santa Comba
1:0
Nov 27, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs SD Negreira
0:2
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs SD Negreira
0:1
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Santa Comba
3:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Santa Comba
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Comba 36 / 100
SD Negreira 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Comba SD Negreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Negreira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SD Negreira conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
SD Negreira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Santa Comba scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS SD Negreira
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Comba
(Home) 15 May
Santa Comba
1 : 1 CD AS Pontes
08 May
Villalonga
1 : 1 Santa Comba
01 May
Santa Comba
0 : 2 Cerceda
24 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0 Santa Comba
16 Apr
Santa Comba
1 : 2 SD Ordenes
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Santa Comba
1 : 1 CD AS Pontes
01 May
Santa Comba
0 : 2 Cerceda
16 Apr
Santa Comba
1 : 2 SD Ordenes
03 Apr
Santa Comba
2 : 3 Bergantinos
20 Mar
Santa Comba
2 : 1 Estradense
Page 1 of 3
SD Negreira
(Away) 28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3 Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0 Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1 Somozas
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
01 May
CD Cultural Areas
2 : 1 SD Negreira
22 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 2 SD Negreira
08 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 SD Negreira
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 36 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 65:33 | 82 |
| 2 | Cerceda | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 52:29 | 70 |
| 3 | CD Ourense | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 70:34 | 68 |
| 4 | Coruxo FC | 36 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Naron | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 49:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Alondras | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 48:38 | 54 |
| 7 | SD Ordenes | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 8 | SD Negreira | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 41:37 | 51 |
| 9 | Racing Club Villalbes | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Rapido de Bouzas | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 37:35 | 47 |
| 11 | Santa Comba | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 44:48 | 46 |
| 12 | Villalonga | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 36:39 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Cultural Areas | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 34:50 | 44 |
| 14 | Bergantinos | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Pontevedra B | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 44:47 | 40 |
| 16 | Somozas | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 40:56 | 39 |
| 17 | Lalin | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 18 | Celtiga | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 37:45 | 36 |
| 19 | Verin CF | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 26:79 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
