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Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Espinho in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
11%
Draws
80%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz Alvarenga haven't matched SC Espinho's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on SC Espinho taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SC Espinho have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 19%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Alvarenga SC Espinho
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs SC Espinho
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Espinho vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
2:1
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs SC Espinho
0:1
Dec 11, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Espinho vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz Alvarenga 12 / 100
SC Espinho 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Alvarenga SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz Alvarenga found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: SC Espinho conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: SC Espinho registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz Alvarenga VS SC Espinho
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz Alvarenga

(Home)
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
01 May
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
24 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
03 Apr
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
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SC Espinho

(Away)
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
30 Apr
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)