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Santa Cruz MT vs Chapada

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Santa Cruz MT
35%
Draws
26%
Chapada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz MT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chapada lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz MT.
  • Santa Cruz MT are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%
Chapada Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT Chapada
Matches Played 16 17
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Chapada
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 49 / 100
Chapada 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT Chapada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz MT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Chapada let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz MT stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Chapada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT VS Chapada
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT

(Home)
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 1
Sorriso EC
09 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
Page 1 of 4

Chapada

(Away)
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
04 Feb
Chapada
3 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
31 Jan
Luverdense
1 : 0
Chapada
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
24 Jan
Chapada
2 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)