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Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC

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Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz MT play Sinop FC in the Matogrossense 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Cruz MT averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sinop FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Cruz MT won 0, Sinop FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Santa Cruz MT and 0.94 for Sinop FC. This points to a Sinop FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santa Cruz MT
27%
Draws
39%
Sinop FC
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz MT picked up more points recently compared to Sinop FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 24%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT Sinop FC
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT
0:0
May 23, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC
0:1
May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 35 / 100
Sinop FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT Sinop FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sinop FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Cruz MT attacking → ← attacking Sinop FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz MT scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Sinop FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Santa Cruz MT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sinop FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rondonopolis EC532019:511
2Acao43019:69
3Pocone42117:47
4Várzea Grande EC41126:74
5Atletico MT40040:100
6Paulistano FC10010:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sinop FC54108:313
2Gremio Sorriso53208:311
3Caceres52126:67
4Sport Sinop52036:66
5Campo Novo51046:103
6Santa Cruz MT51043:93